Review of the Great Gatsby
The course textbooks and supplemental readings. Chapters 5, 10, and 13 in Campaigns and Elections would be the most beneficial for this assignment.
Google scholar
Suggested election prediction sites and campaign information
The economist
Politico
270 to win
Larry Sabato’s Crystal Ball
Real Clear Politics
Cook Political Report
Five Thirty-Eight.com
BBC
New York Times
Washington Post
The Hill
CNBC
CNN
Federal Election Commission (for campaign funding information)
Other news sites
Specific questions: Write at least 6-8 ROBUST sentences for each question.
According to the course material and google scholar, what factors influence the outcomes of Senate and Congressional races? You may want to pay special attention to chapters 5, 10, and 13 in Campaigns and Elections by Sides, Shaw, Grossmann, and Lipsitz (one of the course textbooks).
Research and Predict: Research the following races and fill out the following races with your prediction for the candidate that you predict is going to win each race. Also, pick the party that you think is going to win the House and the Senate. You do not need to write anything for this question—just fill in your predictions.
Senate
Control of Chamber: (Democratic Party) or (Republican Party):_________
Which candidate will win the following US Senate Elections?:
Georgia____________
Nevada____________
Wisconsin___________
North Carolina_________
Ohio_____________
Arizona___________
Pennsylvania_________
Florida___________
New Hampshire________
Colorado___________
House:
Which party will control the House of Representatives Democratic Party or Republican Party: _________
By how much will the winner beat the loser in control over the chamber (take the total number of Majority Party seats minus the Minority’s number of seats): _____________.
Support for your decision Part 1: Pick ONE (predicted) CLOSE Senate race from above. Justify why you think this candidate is going to win based on real world information concerning the race. Use both real-world sources AND your textbook to support your decision.
Support for your decision Part 2: Pick a (predicted) CLOSE Senate race from above (please pick a race you have not picked yet). Justify why you think this candidate is going to win based on real world information concerning the race. Use both real-world sources AND your textbook to support your decision.
Support for your decision Part 3: Pick a ANY Senate race from above (please pick a race you haven’t picked yet). Justify why you think this candidate is going to win based on real world information concerning the race. Use both real-world sources AND your textbook to support your decision.
Support for your decision Part 4-Senate Control Pick: Analyze your predicted Section Elections outcome (who will have control of the chamber and by how many Senators). Justify why you think this party is going to win based on real world information concerning the various Senate races. PUse both real-world sources AND your textbook to support your pick.
Support for your decision Part 5- House Control Pick: Analyze your predicted House of Representative elections outcome (who will have control of the chamber and by how many members). Justify why you think this party is going to win based on real world information concerning the various House races. Use both real-world sources AND your textbook to support your decision.
